How the Obamacare Subsidy Threshold Could Make You Pay a LOT More for Health Insurance

How you may feel if you get caught in this trap

“The small businessman is smart; he realizes there’s no free lunch. On the other hand, he knows where to go to get a good inexpensive sandwich.”
–Adam Osborne

I once remember talking to someone who said that her husband was a dentist and had been offered a pay raise. She wasn’t sure that they should take the pay raise because, according to her, it would “put them in a higher tax bracket.”

Palm, meet face.

At the time, I was not a financial planner. I was an intern at a law firm in Atlanta working on a tax law case, so that was almost as good as staying in a Holiday Inn Express in terms of making me qualified to speak about financial issues. However, even I, back then, knew that tax bracket increases weren’t retroactive. If you move up to a new tax bracket, it means that the extra income in the new bracket is taxed at the higher rate. All of the other income is taxed at the previous rates.

In other words, getting a few hundred dollars in a raise wasn’t going to cause their tax bill to skyrocket.

There is now, though, a situation where that exact scenario could happen.

Somewhere, in the bowels of Congress, where a bunch of overworked and underpaid staffers were busy churning out hundreds of pages of text for the Affordable Care Act (otherwise known as Obamacare) while their bosses were bloviating and showboating in front of cameras, somebody forgot to do a little basic math.

There will be a point at which earning an extra dollar could increase your health care costs dramatically.

How the Federal Poverty Levels (FPLs) and Obamacare Could Dislocate Your Wallet

The intent of the Affordable Care Act (ACA) was to provide federal assistance in paying for health care if employer-provided health insurance was not available and you had to purchase insurance through a state-sponsored health insurance exchange. The line at which people were eligible for assistance is 400% of the federal poverty level; however, depending on how the states implemented the exchanges and the costs of the care, the line for assistance may be lower than 400% of the federal poverty level (FPL). As you make more income, you get less assistance from the government until, once you reach a certain threshold (it seems to be between 250% and 400% of the federal poverty level depending on your region), the assistance disappears.

This is not the same as jumping up into a new tax bracket. The subsidy, in the form of a tax credit – meaning a dollar for dollar reduction in your tax bill – doesn’t gradually drift away to nothing. Once you’re a dollar above the limit, POOF, the credit disappears.

The difference in costs is stark. I don’t normally say plan income around taxes, but this is the exception to the rule. If you’re in a situation like this and close to the line, you should definitely consult with a smart accountant.

If you’re concerned about doing your taxes correctly, I’ve used
TurboTax Online (#aff)
for several years, and, despite the complicated status of our taxes, have had no problems filing my taxes, saving us almost $1,000 compared to what we were paying our accountant when he prepared our taxes.

First, let’s examine how the healthcare subsidy works. Under the ACA, you are expected, based on your income, to contribute a certain portion of your income to healthcare premiums before you receive the credit. The calculation is based on a two-step process: first, how much are you required to pay into premiums as a part of your income. For people at 400% of the federal poverty level, this amount is 9.5% of the annual income. It decreases step-wise down to 2% for people at 150% of the FPL or lower.

The second step is the difference between what you’re required to pay as part of the second highest Silver plan and how much you’re expected to pay based on your percentage of income. Subtract the two, and that’s your credit. If you get a plan that’s a higher amount/level than the second highest, then you must incrementally pay the difference. If you get a plan that is less expensive, then the premium credit decreases.

Let’s look at two examples from Barstow, California.

  • Married Couple, Both Age 60: If you’re a married couple, age 60 and you pay an the lowest Bronze plan premium in Barstow, then here’s how much you’ll pay, after subsidies, for your premiums, depending on your income:
    • Modified Adjusted Gross Income of $62,039: $4,980 per year
    • Modified Adjusted Gross Income of $62,040: $12,672 per year, or $7,692 more than if you had $1 less in MAGI.
  • Family of 4 (2 parents age 40, and 2 kids under 21): For a family of four buying the cheapest Bronze plan using the Barstow rates, they will pay out of pocket, after subsidies, for their insurance premiums:
    • Modified Adjusted Gross Income of $94,199: $8,304 per year
    • Modified Adjusted Gross Income of $94,200: $8,928 per year, or $620 more than if they had $1 less in MAGI.

I can only imagine the agony that people are going to experience when they discover that they just exceeded a threshold and the tax credits disappear.

If you use the healthcare exchanges and you’re going to be close to the modified adjusted gross income threshold and are in danger of losing out on those exceptionally valuable tax credits, here are some things that you can do to reduce your taxable income:

  • Contribute to a traditional 401k. If you are eligible for a 401k at work, contribute enough to get yourself under the threshold. Ideally, you’re at least contributing enough to maximize your employer match, if it is offered.
  • Contribute to a traditional IRA. If you are not eligible for a 401k, or there is no employer match, you can contribute instead to a traditional IRA. By contributing to a traditional IRA, assuming that you are eligible, you can reduce your taxable income by the amount that you contribute to the IRA.
  • Harvest investment losses. If you have investments that are now priced lower than your original purchase price, you can sell them for a capital loss. Make sure you do not repurchase those investments within a 30 day window or you will have a wash sale, meaning you cannot claim the loss.
  • Defer year-end bonuses. If you’re due to get a bonus at the end of the year, speak with your employer to see if you can get paid in the following year rather than at the end of the year. This will defer the income; perhaps you can alternate years in which you receive bonuses, so that in, for example, 2014, you receive no bonus, but in 2015, you receive a bonus on January 1 and on December 31.
  • Defer pay raises until you get enough of a pre-tax raise to account for the health premium impact. This is similar advice to deferring the bonuses, except in this case, you want to keep the pay raise on the books and enact the raise only when you have enough annual salary so that you’re making more, after tax, than you do when you’re under the income threshold.

While it’s impossible to get exact numbers from a Census survey, I estimate that somewhere between 3.5 million and 8 million families are going to be somewhere between $2,500 below to $2,500 above the income cutoff for receiving subsidies. That’s a lot of families who are going to have to do some tough planning to try to get under the adjusted gross income thresholds and who, by the selfsame definitions, don’t have the money to spare to make mistakes. For these families, even though it may be a stretch, spending a few hundred dollars with a qualified and competent accountant will be well worth the cost if it can net them thousands of dollars in subsidies.

I still think that almost all families, whether or not they receive subsidies, should look at the Bronze plan as the default option, but the ACA subsidy threshold throws another wrinkle into what will be a tough set of choices for families who utilize the state exchanges.

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Jason Hull was the co-founder of Broadtree Partners, a firm that acquires $1-5MM EBITDA companies. He also was the co-founder of open source search consultancy OpenSource Connections, a premier Solr and ElasticSearch firm. He and his wife FIREd (financial independence retire early) at 46 and 45, respectively. He has a BS from the United States Military Academy at West Point and a MBA from the University of Virginia Darden Graduate School of Business. He held a CFP certification from 2015 - 2021. You can read more about him in the About Page. If you live in Johnson County, Texas or the surrounding areas, he and his wife are cash buyers of Johnson County, Texas houses.

8 thoughts on “How the Obamacare Subsidy Threshold Could Make You Pay a LOT More for Health Insurance

  1. The modified AGI used to determine your income for the subsidy includes any tax-exempt income (in other words you have to add any tax-exempt income to your regular AGI), so the part about trying to shift income to tax-exempt income is incorrect.

      1. Mr Hull, regarding the modified AGI.
        It was mentioned in the above comment that for determining ACA subsidies, any non-taxable income is included in the adjusted AGI. Does that mean that the non-taxable GI Bill college benefit veterans receive, and tuition assistance Reservist receive, is to be included in the adjusted AGI? Thank you for your time.

        1. Hi Jose – Thanks for your service!

          I’m not a CPA, so there’s that caveat, but New York has a pretty good guide for what is excluded from the adjusted AGI. You can find it here.

  2. Unfortunately, isn’t it based on MAGI, not AGI? So some of your methods of lowering wouldn’t work. What *are* ways to lower MAGI? We would be under the 400% normally but we have a bank stock that varies widely in what it pays, and there have been 2 years recently they paid over $20K (vs the normal 6-8), so that would push us over. Still haven’t gotten into the exchange to see what the numbers are, but if we get a bronze plan, that won’t qualify for a subsidy anyway.

    1. Hi Jody – You are correct; I’ve made adjustments to the article. I think in your case, you’d either want to harvest losses where you could or shift the bank investment into an IRA where the dividends won’t hit your income.

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